Donald Cerrone vs Jorge Masvidal
I didn’t love the opening line for Cerrone at -180 but it has climbed to -155 which makes it bettable. I favor him moderately in this matchup. If it wasn’t for the fact that is a pretty good matchup for Masvidal(he doesn’t do too badly against aggressive strikers) I would cap Cerrone at -240 or higher. Expect fireworks and I’m not sure why the under 2,5 rounds prop has climbed to +185 from +135 given that both are dangerous strikers. With the current odds I have to recommend a medium straight bet on Cerrone and the under 2,5 prop.
Andrei Arlovski vs Francis Ngannou
As much as I like Francis there’s no way I’m backing a HW striker at -400 against Arlovski. Arlovski definitely deserves to be the underdog here but given the matchup and the fact this is heavyweight I feel the obligation to back him at +340. I think people are being affected by Arlovski’s recent losses and the fact that Francis has been tearing through everyone but this is still two heavy handed fighters where the upset chance is too big to pass on.
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